Hi Again,
Raymond Merriman is a contemporary astrologer best known for his work in the astrology of the stock market. His formal education and training includes a bachelor’s degree in psychology (Michigan State University, 1969); postgraduate studies in clinical psycholog y, a life member of the American Federation of Astrologers (PLMAFA since 1972); commodities trading advisor (CTA, 1982); and series 3 and 7exams for commodities, financial futures, securities and investments (1986, 1989).
Currently, Merriman is president of the Merriman Market Analyst, Inc., an investment advisory firm specializing in market timing products and services. He is the editor of the MMA Cycles Report, an advisory newsletter issued 17 times a year, and used by banks, financial institutions, investors, and traders throughout the world since 1982.
Merriman has been quite good at predicting geopolitical events and market behavior. Now with all these global events, it is interesting to consider what he has to say at this point. Per Merriman Weekly Report dated 2/28/22:
· The movement of all these planets from Capricorn (authoritarianism) to Aquarius implied the beginning stages of a more enlightened world population that will place more value on human rights, equality, and more freedom.
· It is the end of an old cycle , which can be very difficult and resistant to change, and the beginning of a new cycle, which is readying to give birth.
· I would think that within one year of the Saturn/Neptune cycle in February 2026, the current model of Russian governance will implode, as it has done consistently throughout history whenever Saturn and Neptune conjoin (every 36 years)
· Mars moves towards Pluto on March 3, drums of war beat loudly.
· Venus and Mars leave Capricorn for Aquarius in March 6, signs of peace and a reduction in violence emerge
· Mars move towards Saturn on April 8, agreements may get violated and reinterpreted and twisted to imply something different than most everyone understood, and war drums beat again.
· Jupiter applies to Neptune on April 12, another step towards peace can take hold. It could end there and things could start to stabilize. However it may not stabilize for long again as Jupiter moves in to Aries for the greater part of next year, with a greater demand for war machinery and weapons.
· On top of all that, The US continues undergoing its Pluto return, which present an even more enormous challenge to the role and leadership of the US, both militarily and economically.
· At this time as Jupiter applies to Neptune, we have a case for a speculative frenzy. It can either be irrational exuberance and hysteria, possibly leading to panic (or both), if not careful.
· 2/16/22 to 3/21/22 is one of the most important geocosmic time bands of the year.
· Per Merriman again, “As VP Kamala Harris said recently in her meetings with European leaders, this is a defining moment for the future of the world”. She could be right
Apart from Geopolitics, Macroeconomic conditions rule all financial markets. In other words, it is all about the Federal Reserve and its intention to raise interest rates. As Martin Zweig warned us decades ago, “No one wins by fighting the Federal Reserve”. However according to one school of thought, this Russian invasion will make the Federal Reserve go slow on monetary tightening. That could happen but the main responsibility of the Fed Reserve is to tame inflation which is running at a 40 year high; and they are totally responsible for it. I agree with analysts who say that they should have started tightening one year ago. Even now they are buying mortgage securities which is inflating housing prices and rents to an unbearable level. Even though Presidents have taken credit or got blamed, most prosperity and hardships have come from the actions of the Federal Reserve. They are trying to have a soft landing but they always miss and overshoot and create recessions. That is not good for the Biden administration so even worse for the 85% of the population that earn less than $50K per year and got the last set of stimulation checks. In a time like this it is important to look at technical analysis or chart analysis.
Larry Williams has been trading futures, commodities, and stocks for over 53 years. Through good years and bad, he has worked tirelessly to bring his market wisdom to the rest of us, recording, writing, sharing and teaching fellow traders. Larry Williams has taught thousands to trade the markets, and has been the only futures trader in the world to repeatedly trade $1 million of his own money live at seminars around the globe. Larry's long list of best-selling books includes 1982's "How to Prosper in the Coming Good Years" which accurately forecasted the largest bull market and surge in economic growth in American history. He is a past board member of the National Futures Association and the recipient of numerous awards, including Futures Magazine's first Doctor of Futures Award, the Omega Research Lifetime Achievement Award, Significant Sig (a Sigma Chi acknowledgement), Traders International 2005 Trader of the Year, on October 6, 2002 the mayor of San Diego declared that day as Larry Williams' Day, and 2014 MTA (Market Technicians Association) Man of the Year Award.
Even before the market found a temporary bottom on 2/23/22, on 2/22/22, Larry Williams stated on CNBC:
· Buying opportunity will emerge within the next 5 days
· Compared to bonds, stocks are still undervalued.
Carter Braxton Worth, a 32-year Wall Street veteran, is the CEO/Founder of Carter Braxton Worth Charting LLC. He was Head of Technical Analysis at Cornerstone Macro Research beginning in 2016. Prior to his role at Cornerstone, he was Chief Market Technician at Sterne Agee (acquired by Stifel Nicholas) and at Oppenheimer Holdings Inc.
This is what Carter had to say on 2/25/22:
· Apple- For the week ending 2/25/22, Apple was still down 1.46% while all other mega teach were up. Compared to S&P 500, Apple is doing badly and the near term future for Apple is not good.
· Commodity markets are close to a short term top, according to the Bloomberg Commodity Index. Carter recommends, “sell short and take profits”.
· Where will the S&P 500 (SPY) be in 10 weeks? 15% probability that it will be higher and a 85% probability that it will be lower.
With volatility rising, there will be many opportunities for short term trading in all markets. Each time, the market goes up, it is a selling opportunity. Peter and Jon Najarian brothers who monitor option activity on a daily basis confirm that day trading volumes have been increasing exponentially over the past few days.
Have a great month!
Fernando