December 5 Post

Hi There Again,

 

Did you take a look at our scorecard? Our portfolio was up 18.3% in November and we beat all 3 markets- S&P up 9.86%, DJIA up 11.25% and NASDAQ was up 10.79 from 11/1/20 to 11/30/20. Apple after going up for a long time is taking a breather. It has been stagnant for months but “Fibonacci Queen” Boroden expect it to go up to $150 but she does not give time limit but I think it will happen in late 2021. As I mentioned in my newsletter 2 months ago, the Santa Claus rally is going strong.

 

According to many technicians we are very close to an important high for the S&P500; why? When you take the March low and us Fibonacci numbers, we should peak at 3720 and on 12/4/20, S&P ended at 3699 so watch out for next week! I think a good correction is getting closer and closer and that would be a fantastic opportunity to buy more!

 

Last newsletter (for October 2020) was issued and sent on 10/31/20. In that I stated that most people are bearish with the elections and are waiting for the elections to have a clear winner to rally but I took the opposite side and I expected an immediate rally.  On 10/31/20, the DJIA was at 26,501 and on 11/24/20, it hit an all-time high of 30,116- that was a rise of 3,615 points in just 24 days! In my last newsletter, I also mentioned that after elections, the market goes up. Some believe that this bully will rally till Q1 2021 and then fall sharply. After March 2020, the market has forgotten how to fall sharply! Finally when it does, watch out!

 

Here are some predictions made by technician Sebastian on Mad Money (CNBC) on 11/13/20:

·       August 2020 to September 2020, the market went up and so did the fear gauge VIX which is a red flag (market heading for a decline)

·       Week prior to 11/13/20, market went up but the VIX declined-which is a bullish sign

·       Now we have a broader group of stocks going up-bullish

·       VIX for the Nasdaq or VIXN was at 29; normally it is about 23. That bearish for the tech stocks and Nasdaq

·       Huge rally expected for the Dow

·       Not so sure for S&P

·       Nasdaq might not go up

 

These predictions/observations were made by the technician Larry Williams on CNBC on 11/23/20:

·Retail stocks go up between Thanks giving and Christmas. (This really started early November)

· Amazon has been sluggish lately but expected to rise after Thanksgiving

· Expect Walmart to go up after Thanksgiving. Same true for ,Costco

Happy Holidays!

Fernando